8.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 7.5 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 9.6
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 189.9/game vs a 185.9 league average
vs them: averages 9.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 7.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 17°C☂ 0.3mm (64%)🌬 16.5 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Zanevs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
48.2
26
Run Metresneutral
63
1715.7
Zane 48.2/game
NEW concedes 1715.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
25
Tackle Breaksneutral
69
33.7
Zane 0.6/game
NEW concedes 33.7/game · league avg 32.8
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.2
53
Tacklesunfavorable
19
335.0
Zane 17.2/game
NEW concedes 335.0/game · league avg 344.9
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
38
4.0
Zane 0.0/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
86
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.4
Zane 0.4/game
NEW concedes 3.4/game · league avg 3.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
32
Line Breaksunfavorable
25
4.5
Zane 0.1/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
20
Offloadsneutral
63
10.0
Zane 0.1/game
NEW concedes 10.0/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
7.8
15
Post Contact Metresneutral
63
558.0
Zane 7.8/game
NEW concedes 558.0/game · league avg 544.2
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Zane48.2
26
NEW1715.7
63
Zane 48.2/game
NEW concedes 1715.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Zane0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Runs
189.9per game · league avg 185.9
#6 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At McDonald Jones Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else7.5(14)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(2)-0.6
Dry games7.6(12)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NEW · Runs
Avg diff
+0.5
Avg diff %
+3%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CBREthan Strange8.99+1%
08-09CBRMorgan Smithies7.09+28%
08-09CBREthan Sanders6.16-2%
08-01BRIBen Talty8.19+11%
08-01BRIGrant Anderson8.514+64%
08-01BRIAdam Reynolds6.50-100%
07-24SYDDaly Cherry-Evans8.24-51%
07-24SYDSpencer Leniu8.915+69%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Zane's. Computed from this app's own records.