9.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 9.0 (5 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 9.5
−0.2 opponent leak — they concede 181.3/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 16.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Runs
181.3per game · league avg 185.9
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At CommBank Stadium8.3(3)-2.2
Everywhere else10.5(31)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-10.9
Dry games10.9(32)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Runs
Avg diff
+2.5
Avg diff %
+27%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARKurt Capewell9.810+2%
08-07WARJacob Laban8.311+33%
08-07WARLeka Halasima9.521+120%
08-07WARAli Leiataua9.87-28%
08-01CBREthan Strange8.911+24%
08-01CBRJed Stuart9.614+46%
08-01CBRAta Mariota9.710+3%
07-23PARKelma Tuilagi9.711+13%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Fetalaiga's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry12.5