51.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 53.5 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 48.5
+4.3 opponent leak — they concede 590/game vs a 544.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 49.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Post Contact Metres
590.0per game · league avg 544.6
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium32.0(1)-4.4
Everywhere else36.4(35)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games36.3(36)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+2.4
Avg diff %
+4%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUKeaon Koloamatangi60.874+22%
08-08SOUDavid Fifita54.558+6%
08-08SOUTallis Duncan46.230-35%
08-08SOUMatthew Dufty59.353-11%
08-02WSTTerrell May55.376+38%
08-02WSTJahream Bula48.139-19%
08-02WSTJunior Tupou49.747-5%
08-02WSTFonua Pole46.963+34%
Similar = season average within ±8.0 of Tom's. Computed from this app's own records.