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A notebook drawing of Victor Wembanyama in the Spurs number 1, on the toes with one arm stretched high
Victor Wembanyama (Project Punt styled)
NBAThe season, counted
1Victor WembanyamaVictor Wembanyama ›#1 · San Antonio SpursSAS

Who's actually brave enough to shoot over Victor Wembanyama?

Every shot with Wembanyama guarding, against what the shooter usually makes.

By Kelvin14 Nov 20262 min readNumbers to the Spurs' first 12 games of 2026-27
Figure 1

162 shots with Wembanyama guarding: 60 went in

every shot NBA tracking credits to Wembanyama as the defender, 2026-27 so far · one basketball a shot

made (60) missed (102)

With Wembanyama guarding37%
Same players, usually53%
Note: "Usually" is the same players' field-goal % in their games against everyone else this season, on the 161 shots by players with other games.Source: NBA tracking data (NBA.com matchups, copied 13 November 2026); Punt's database, read 14 November 2026.
Show the numbers
MadeShots%
With Wembanyama guarding6016237.0%
Same shooters (with other games)6016137.3%
Their usual rate, on those shots85.316153.0%

Why?

ESPN measured what Victor Wembanyama does to the space around a shooter, and our video on it ended with a question: who's actually brave enough to shoot over that? So I took NBA tracking's matchup numbers, every shot a player took with Wembanyama as the defender, and set each one against what that player makes against everyone else.

Three figures side by side: a regular person, an average NBA player and Victor Wembanyama in the Spurs number 1, much taller

You, the average player, Wemby7 ft 4 in socks

A child's crayon drawing of a stick player in a number 1 jersey with arms that reach the ground beside a hoop

A made-up playerLike a child drew the arms

Victor Wembanyama standing with both arms out, a measuring line between the fingertips tagged 8 FT WINGSPAN

It's the reachAn 8-foot wingspan

Victor Wembanyama on the toes with one arm stretched high to contest a shot

Shoot over that?About 10 degrees higher

A smaller court

ESPN's numbers are about room. Jayson Tatum normally needs about 4 feet of space to get a three off. Against Wembanyama's 8-foot wingspan, Tatum needs 5.

Figure 2

One more foot is 28 more square feet of court

drawn to scale on an NBA half court, faint lines 1 foot apart · a shooter on the wing, just behind the three-point line
Restricted area: 4 ft5 ft4 ft
  • Usual space: 4 ft, same as the restricted area
  • Wembanyama's extra foot: 56% more court
  • Faint lines: 1 ft apart
Note: ESPN measured the space: about 4 feet for Tatum usually, 5 against Wembanyama. The rings are our drawing of it: a closeout can come from any side, so the space a shooter needs is a circle.Source: ESPN
Show the numbers
Square feet
Inside 4 ft, Tatum's usual50.3
Between 4 and 5 ft, the extra28.3
Inside 5 ft, against Wembanyama78.5

One foot sounds small. Tatum's usual space is exactly the restricted-area circle under the rim, drawn all the way round the shooter. Against Wembanyama, Tatum needs that circle plus 56%.

And a shot that goes up anyway has to leave about 10 degrees higher and travel about 3 and a half feet further. ESPN says that can cost up to 40% of its accuracy.

It shows up in games

Last season opponents made 56.3% of their twos in the 18 Spurs games Wembanyama missed, and 50.4% in the 65 Wembanyama played. That's about 3 extra misses a game. This season the Spurs are letting teams make 47.9%, the lowest of all 30 teams.

Figure 3

The Spurs let teams make the fewest twos in the NBA

opponents' two-point %, 2026-27 · each line runs from the league's 53.9% to the team
46%48%50%52%54%56%58%60%62%league 53.9%
Spurs47.9%
Thunder48.8%
Celtics50.3%
Timberwolves50.6%
Pistons51.2%
Cavaliers51.5%
Knicks51.5%
Jazz51.7%
Hornets52.6%
Blazers52.6%
Lakers52.6%
Pacers52.7%
Suns53.7%
Magic53.7%
76ers53.8%
Grizzlies54.1%
Warriors54.6%
Wizards54.6%
Bucks54.6%
Bulls54.8%
Nuggets55.0%
Raptors55.8%
Mavericks55.8%
Rockets56.1%
Nets56.3%
Heat56.8%
Clippers57.9%
Kings58.5%
Hawks58.7%
Pelicans60.6%
Note: Lowest first: the further left, the fewer twos opponents make. Twos are every field goal that isn't a three. The dot by each name is the team's colour. Games to 12 November, US time.Source: Punt's database, read 14 November 2026.
Show the numbers
TeamTwos allowedv leagueMadeGames
San Antonio Spurs47.9%-6.1325/67912
Oklahoma City Thunder48.8%-5.1268/54912
Boston Celtics50.3%-3.6252/50112
Minnesota Timberwolves50.6%-3.3323/63812
Detroit Pistons51.2%-2.7289/56411
Cleveland Cavaliers51.5%-2.4327/63512
New York Knicks51.5%-2.4251/48711
Utah Jazz51.7%-2.2321/62112
Charlotte Hornets52.6%-1.4297/56512
Portland Trail Blazers52.6%-1.3300/57011
Los Angeles Lakers52.6%-1.3309/58713
Indiana Pacers52.7%-1.2323/61312
Phoenix Suns53.7%-0.3286/53311
Orlando Magic53.7%-0.3299/55711
Philadelphia 76ers53.8%-0.1353/65613
Memphis Grizzlies54.1%0.1313/57911
Golden State Warriors54.6%0.6329/60312
Washington Wizards54.6%0.6395/72413
Milwaukee Bucks54.6%0.7341/62412
Chicago Bulls54.8%0.8310/56610
Denver Nuggets55.0%1.0277/50410
Toronto Raptors55.8%1.9309/55412
Dallas Mavericks55.8%1.9350/62712
Houston Rockets56.1%2.2329/58612
Brooklyn Nets56.3%2.3274/48711
Miami Heat56.8%2.8302/53211
LA Clippers57.9%4.0303/52310
Sacramento Kings58.5%4.6315/53811
Atlanta Hawks58.7%4.8365/62212
New Orleans Pelicans60.6%6.7354/58412

Who went at Wemby

NBA tracking has 162 shots with Wembanyama guarding so far in 2026-27, and 60 went in. On the 161 taken by players who've also shot against other teams, 60 went in, where their usual rates come to about 85.

The bravest last season was Draymond Green: 33 shots with Wembanyama guarding, 10 made. That's 30%, from a player who makes 43% against everyone else.

One player hasn't been scared at all. Alperen Sengun has made 21 of 32 over the two seasons, 66% against a usual 52%.

Figure 4

Who went at Wemby, and who made Wemby pay

the most shots with Wembanyama guarding · one basketball a shot, orange = made · the tick is their usual number of makes
  1. Draymond GreenGot burned −410 of 33 30%usually 43% · 14 makes
  2. Alperen SengunMade Wemby pay +421 of 32 66%usually 52% · 17 makes
  3. Jusuf NurkićGot burned −59 of 28 32%usually 51% · 14 makes
  4. Bam AdebayoMade Wemby pay +112 of 25 48%usually 44% · 11 makes
  5. Amen ThompsonGot burned −46 of 18 33%usually 53% · 10 makes
  6. Daniel GaffordGot burned −57 of 17 41%usually 73% · 12 makes
  7. Maxime RaynaudGot burned −64 of 17 24%usually 58% · 10 makes
  8. Nikola JokićAbout even9 of 16 56%usually 57% · 9 makes
  9. Jaxson HayesGot burned −29 of 16 56%usually 70% · 11 makes
  10. Zion WilliamsonMade Wemby pay +211 of 15 73%usually 60% · 9 makes
  11. Precious AchiuwaGot burned −16 of 13 46%usually 56% · 7 makes
  12. Domantas SabonisGot burned −36 of 13 46%usually 69% · 9 makes
  1. Domantas SabonisGot burned −36 of 13 46%usually 69% · 9 makes
  2. Jaxson HayesGot burned −34 of 11 36%usually 68% · 7 makes
  3. Daniel GaffordGot burned −44 of 10 40%usually 78% · 8 makes
  4. Alperen SengunGot burned −14 of 9 44%usually 52% · 5 makes
  5. Precious AchiuwaGot burned −23 of 9 33%usually 57% · 5 makes
  6. Keyonte GeorgeAbout even3 of 7 43%usually 45% · 3 makes
  7. Jalen SmithMade Wemby pay +24 of 5 80%usually 49% · 2 makes
  8. Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderGot burned −11 of 5 20%usually 45% · 2 makes
  9. Jonathan MogboGot burned −30 of 5 0%usually 63% · 3 makes
  10. Amen ThompsonMade Wemby pay +13 of 4 75%usually 50% · 2 makes
  11. Dylan CardwellAbout even2 of 4 50%usually 44% · 2 makes
  12. Darius Acuff Jr.Got burned −11 of 4 25%usually 42% · 2 makes
  1. Draymond GreenGot burned −410 of 33 30%usually 43% · 14 makes
  2. Jusuf NurkićGot burned −59 of 28 32%usually 51% · 14 makes
  3. Bam AdebayoMade Wemby pay +112 of 25 48%usually 44% · 11 makes
  4. Alperen SengunMade Wemby pay +517 of 23 74%usually 52% · 12 makes
  5. Maxime RaynaudGot burned −64 of 17 24%usually 58% · 10 makes
  6. Nikola JokićAbout even9 of 16 56%usually 57% · 9 makes
  7. Zion WilliamsonMade Wemby pay +211 of 15 73%usually 60% · 9 makes
  8. Amen ThompsonGot burned −53 of 14 21%usually 54% · 8 makes
  9. Jalen DurenGot burned −25 of 11 46%usually 65% · 7 makes
  10. Deandre AytonGot burned −25 of 11 46%usually 68% · 7 makes
  11. Cooper FlaggGot burned −32 of 11 18%usually 47% · 5 makes
  12. Joel EmbiidGot burned −14 of 10 40%usually 49% · 5 makes
  1. Isaiah HartensteinGot burned −218 of 32 56%usually 62% · 20 makes
  2. Jaden McDanielsAbout even12 of 23 52%usually 52% · 12 makes
  3. Alex CarusoMade Wemby pay +413 of 21 62%usually 42% · 9 makes
  4. OG AnunobyMade Wemby pay +312 of 18 67%usually 49% · 9 makes
  5. Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderGot burned −37 of 18 39%usually 56% · 10 makes
  6. Jalen BrunsonGot burned −35 of 18 28%usually 47% · 8 makes
  7. Julius RandleGot burned −26 of 17 35%usually 48% · 8 makes
  8. Karl-Anthony TownsMade Wemby pay +18 of 15 53%usually 50% · 8 makes
  9. Jared McCainMade Wemby pay +17 of 15 47%usually 43% · 6 makes
  10. Anthony EdwardsGot burned −16 of 15 40%usually 48% · 7 makes
  11. Naz ReidMade Wemby pay +17 of 14 50%usually 46% · 6 makes
  12. Rudy GobertGot burned −45 of 13 39%usually 69% · 9 makes
Note: "Made Wemby pay": more makes than the player's usual field-goal % (against everyone else that season) gives on those shots. "Got burned": fewer. "About even": within half a make. 2025-26 regular season: players with 4 or more shots (the full list stops there).Source: NBA tracking data (NBA.com matchups, copied 13 November 2026); Punt's database, read 14 November 2026.
Show the numbers
PlayerMade/shots%Usually
Draymond Green10/3330.3%42.6%
Alperen Sengun21/3265.6%52.3%
Jusuf Nurkić9/2832.1%51.0%
Bam Adebayo12/2548.0%44.4%
Amen Thompson6/1833.3%53.1%
Daniel Gafford7/1741.2%73.1%
Maxime Raynaud4/1723.5%57.6%
Nikola Jokić9/1656.3%56.9%
Jaxson Hayes9/1656.3%70.2%
Zion Williamson11/1573.3%60.4%
Precious Achiuwa6/1346.2%55.6%
Domantas Sabonis6/1346.2%68.5%
Jalen Smith6/1250.0%48.9%
Cooper Flagg3/1225.0%47.1%
Nic Claxton7/1163.6%58.8%
Jalen Duren5/1145.5%65.0%
Deandre Ayton5/1145.5%67.5%
Oso Ighodaro5/1145.5%64.6%
Keyonte George5/1145.5%45.6%
Joel Embiid4/1040.0%49.1%
Trey Murphy III4/1040.0%46.5%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander4/1040.0%50.3%
Jakob Poeltl3/1030.0%72.0%
Mark Williams2/1020.0%65.1%
Moussa Diabaté6/966.7%63.7%

Of the 24 players with 10 or more shots against Wembanyama across both seasons, 5 made more than usual: Sengun, Bam Adebayo, Zion Williamson, Jalen Smith and Nic Claxton. The other 19 made fewer. Flip Figure 4 to the playoffs: 156 of 369, 42%, against a usual 50%.

The blocks

The shots that do go up get swatted too. Wembanyama is blocking 4.44.4↗ a game in 2026-27.

Figure 5

Every Wembanyama game of 2026-27: drag the line

blocks, all 12 games

Over 3.5: 7/12 games

0246810
↕ 3.5
Note: The line starts at 3.5, just under the 4.4 a game. Drag it and the count above the chart follows.Source: Punt's database, read 14 November 2026.
Show the numbers
DateOpponentBlocksMinutes
2026-10-20v OKC634
2026-10-23v HOU231
2026-10-24at DAL428
2026-10-27v SAC526
2026-10-28at UTA238
2026-10-31v MIN633
2026-11-02v UTA324
2026-11-04v DAL834
2026-11-06at SAC226
2026-11-07at POR224
2026-11-09at PHX825
2026-11-11at CHI531
↗Drag the line on any NBA playerEvery game in Punt, blocks and all.Open Victor Wembanyama →

Not everything counts

Tracking credits a shot to whoever was guarding the shooter when it went up. A shot Wembanyama changed from the other side of the paint, or one nobody took because Wembanyama was standing there, isn't in these numbers at all. And 12 games is a small season. Draymond's Warriors play the Spurs in San Antonio on 13 November, US time, a game not played when these numbers were read. I'll count every matchup again at the All-Star break.

Summary

With Wembanyama guarding, 2026-27
37%60 of 162v53%same players, usually
Draymond v Sengun
10/33Draymond Greenv21/32Alperen Sengun
Two-point % allowed
47.9%Spurs, 1st of 30v53.9%league

The working

Definitions, sources and when the numbers were read
Shots with Wembanyama guarding
NBA tracking's matchup numbers: a field-goal attempt counts when tracking had Wembanyama as the shooter's defender. Copied from NBA.com (Matchups, Head to Head, Wembanyama on defence) on 13 November 2026. 2026-27: every opponent, 63 players. 2025-26 regular season: players with 4 or more shots (97); the list copied stops at 3, so those are left out. 2025-26 playoffs: every opponent, 45 players.
Usually
Derived: the player's field goals made over attempted in that season's regular-season games against every team except the Spurs, from Punt's database. Playoff shooters are measured against their 2025-26 regular season. A player with no other games that season is left out of the comparison: 1 of the 162 shots in 2026-27.
Both seasons
2025-26 (4 or more shots) and 2026-27 added together. The usual rate is each season's usual, weighted by the shots against Wembanyama.
Twos allowed
Opponents' two-point field goals (all field goals minus threes) made over attempted, every regular-season game to 12 November, US time. With and without: the Spurs' 83 games of 2025-26, split by whether Wembanyama played; extra misses = the gap times the 53.4 twos opponents took a game with Wembanyama.
Space and angle
Tatum's 4 and 5 feet, the 10 degrees and the up-to-40% are ESPN's (ESPN on TikTok). The 56% and the restricted-area comparison are ours: the NBA's restricted-area arc is 4 feet from the centre of the basket, and 5² ÷ 4² = 1.56.
Read
Punt's database read 14 November 2026; NBA tracking copied 13 November 2026.
Sources
NBA.com, Victor Wembanyama matchups. ESPN Originals.
Not in this article
Help defence, shots that never went up, Wembanyama's offence, and prices.
Sources and terms
Every source Punt uses, with its licence, is on Credits. The terms are defined in the Glossary, and the methodology page sets out where every number comes from and the rules it follows.
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