0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 40/game vs a 35.3 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 0 there (31 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CAR concede · Hitouts
40.0per game · league avg 35.3
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Hitouts
At Docklands0.0(31)
Everywhere else0.0(25)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Hitouts
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(3)
Dry games0.0(53)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CAR · Hitouts
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-12%
Hit rate
0/2
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-11HAWMitch Lewis1.010%
05-29GEEJack Henry1.31-25%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Joel's. Computed from this app's own records.