2.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.4 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 2.4
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 34.8/game vs a 32.8 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 2.4 there (48 gm)
vs them: averages 2.0 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 2: 5 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
← the price your bookie is offering
Splits · o2.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 16.5°C☂ 0.3mm (73%)🌬 16.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Bradmanvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
139.2
85
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Bradman 139.2/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.4
77
Tackle Breaksfavorable
88
34.8
Bradman 2.4/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.8
42
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Bradman 13.8/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
75
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Bradman 0.3/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.2
99
Try Assistsfavorable
75
4.0
Bradman 1.2/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
59
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Bradman 0.3/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
73
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Bradman 0.7/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
47.3
86
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Bradman 47.3/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Bradman139.2
85
GLD1851.3
94
Bradman 139.2/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Bradman2.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Tackle Breaks
34.8per game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackle Breaks
At McDonald Jones Stadium2.4(48)-0.2
Everywhere else2.6(55)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackle Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)3.1(10)+0.6
Dry games2.5(93)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Tackle Breaks
Avg diff
+0.9
Avg diff %
+33%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi2.10-100%
08-06NQLJason Taumalolo2.32-11%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt1.62+23%
08-06NQLTom Chester3.88+113%
08-06NQLJake Clifford2.03+54%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue2.54+58%
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater3.33-10%
08-06NQLHeilum Luki2.15+133%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Bradman's. Computed from this app's own records.