0.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 3.7/game vs a 4.2 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 0 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o1.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Joshvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
49.6
27
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Josh 49.6/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
32
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Josh 0.8/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
15.7
49
Tacklesneutral
81
352.1
Josh 15.7/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Josh 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Josh 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
26
Line Breaksunfavorable
31
4.5
Josh 0.1/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
63
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Josh 0.5/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
18.8
36
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Josh 18.8/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Josh49.6
27
CRO1504.1
0
Josh 49.6/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Josh0.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Tries
3.7per game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tries
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium0.0(4)
Everywhere else0.0(107)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)0.1(7)+0.1
Dry games0.0(104)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Tries
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
+7%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUJack Wighton0.20-100%
08-02SOUAshton Ward0.10-100%
08-02SOUAlex Johnston1.51-32%
08-02SOULatrell Siegwalt0.21+550%
08-02SOUCampbell Graham0.71+40%
08-02SOUCody Walker0.40-100%
08-02SOUMatthew Dufty0.20-100%
08-02SOUTevita Tatola0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Josh's. Computed from this app's own records.