10.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 10.8 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 10.4
−1.8 opponent leak — they concede 19.7/game vs a 23.7 league average
−2.1 at this ground — averages 8.5 there (20 gm)
vs them: averages 13.0 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Points
19.7per game · league avg 23.7
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At CommBank Stadium8.5(20)-1.7
Everywhere else10.2(91)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)5.7(9)-4.6
Dry games10.3(102)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Points
Avg diff
-1.6
Avg diff %
-9%
Hit rate
2/4
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
06-21CRONicho Hynes11.50-100%
06-12DOLJamayne Isaako12.314+14%
04-11CRONicho Hynes11.56-48%
03-06WARTanah Boyd9.218+96%
Similar = season average within ±1.6 of Nathan's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry1.5