23.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 23.0 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 7 23.0
+1.1 opponent leak — they concede 386.2/game vs a 369 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 23 there (4 gm)
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
COL concede · Disposals
386.2per game · league avg 369.0
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Disposals
At Perth Stadium23.0(4)
Everywhere else23.0(3)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Disposals
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games23.0(7)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs COL · Disposals
Avg diff
-1.1
Avg diff %
-5%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-30GEETom Stewart21.425+17%
07-30GEELawson Humphries20.315-26%
07-30GEEGryan Miers21.417-21%
07-30GEETanner Bruhn21.624+11%
07-23ADESam Berry22.930+31%
07-23ADEJordan Dawson25.422-13%
07-23ADEWayne Milera25.624-6%
07-23ADEJames Peatling20.213-36%
Similar = season average within ±3.4 of Marcus's. Computed from this app's own records.