8.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.0 (10 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 8.0
−0.2 opponent leak — they concede 180.6/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 10.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Runs
180.6per game · league avg 185.9
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At CommBank Stadium11.0(1)+4.5
Everywhere else6.5(13)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)8.0(2)+1.4
Dry games6.6(12)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SYD · Runs
Avg diff
-0.9
Avg diff %
-9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYHarry Hayes7.510+33%
08-07CBYStephen Crichton9.34-57%
07-30NQLCoen Hess7.55-34%
07-30NQLReuben Cotter8.72-77%
07-30NQLJake Clifford8.03-62%
07-24NEWFletcher Hunt8.011+38%
07-24NEWTyson Frizell9.314+51%
07-17MELTyran Wishart6.69+37%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Preston's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry12.5