0.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.4 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.4
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 4.8/game vs a 4.2 league average
−0.0 at this ground — averages 0.4 there (36 gm)
vs them: averages 0.7 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 19: 2 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 0.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 17°C☂ 0.3mm (64%)🌬 16.5 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Kalynvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
167.0
95
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Kalyn 167.0/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.1
98
Tackle Breaksfavorable
88
34.8
Kalyn 5.1/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.3
9
Tacklesunfavorable
38
340.0
Kalyn 3.3/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
85
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Kalyn 0.4/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
98
Try Assistsfavorable
75
4.0
Kalyn 1.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
82
Line Breaksfavorable
63
5.2
Kalyn 0.5/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.8
97
Offloadsfavorable
88
11.2
Kalyn 1.8/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
33.6
63
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Kalyn 33.6/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Kalyn167.0
95
GLD1851.3
94
Kalyn 167.0/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
Kalyn5.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Tries
4.8per game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tries
At McDonald Jones Stadium0.4(36)+0.1
Everywhere else0.3(54)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tries
Wet games (≥1mm)0.4(7)+0.1
Dry games0.3(83)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Tries
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-17%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLTom Chester0.40-100%
08-06NQLJaxon Purdue0.31+200%
08-06NQLBraidon Burns0.80-100%
08-06NQLZac Laybutt0.10-100%
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi0.70-100%
08-06NQLJake Clifford0.41+163%
08-06NQLScott Drinkwater0.40-100%
08-06NQLGriffin Neame0.000%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Kalyn's. Computed from this app's own records.