Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
0.6+0.1 · line-ball
0.5 baseline — his last 10 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 6/game vs a 5.1 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 0.5 there (8 gm)
vs them: averages 1.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 7: 2 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Line Breaks
6.0per game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Line Breaks
At CommBank Stadium0.5(8)-0.1
Everywhere else0.6(36)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Line Breaks
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-0.6
Dry games0.6(43)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Line Breaks
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-48%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROMawene Hiroti0.30-100%
08-09CRONicho Hynes0.71+42%
08-09CROSione Katoa1.010%
08-09CROJesse Ramien0.61+75%
08-09CRORonaldo Mulitalo1.20-100%
08-09CROBraydon Trindall0.30-100%
08-09CROWilliam Kennedy0.50-100%
08-09CROAddin Fonua-Blake0.10-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Junior's. Computed from this app's own records.