39.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 38.8 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 39.5
−4.9 opponent leak — they concede 475.8/game vs a 544.2 league average
−4.3 at this ground — averages 34.8 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 25.8 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Post Contact Metres
475.8per game · league avg 544.2
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium34.8(13)+3.9
Everywhere else30.9(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)18.8(5)-13.9
Dry games32.7(59)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-7.4
Avg diff %
-20%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYViliame Kikau34.615-57%
08-07CBYJaeman Salmon33.126-21%
08-07CBYStephen Crichton38.88-79%
08-07CBYJethro Rinakama38.246+20%
08-07CBYConnor Tracey40.331-23%
08-07CBYJacob Preston37.062+68%
08-07CBYMatt Burton42.845+5%
08-07CBYSitili Tupouniua39.412-70%
Similar = season average within ±5.8 of Liam's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry38.5