80.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 84.8 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 73.7
−8.0 opponent leak — they concede 1519.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
−1.8 at this ground — averages 78.6 there (18 gm)
vs them: averages 96.6 over 11 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Run Metres
1519.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium78.6(18)-14.6
Everywhere else93.2(104)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)77.0(7)-14.9
Dry games91.9(115)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Run Metres
Avg diff
-16.2
Avg diff %
-19%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYJacob Preston94.9116+22%
08-07CBYViliame Kikau91.545-51%
08-07CBYJaeman Salmon93.860-36%
07-30NQLCoen Hess79.343-46%
07-30NQLZac Laybutt87.952-41%
07-30NQLReuben Cotter79.316-80%
07-24NEWTyson Frizell88.9108+21%
07-24NEWMat Croker83.3129+55%
Similar = season average within ±12.7 of Liam's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5