0.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.6 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.8
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 19.7/game vs a 23.7 league average
+0.1 at this ground — averages 0.8 there (21 gm)
vs them: averages 0.0 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▲projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Points
19.7per game · league avg 23.7
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Points
At CommBank Stadium0.8(21)+0.4
Everywhere else0.3(82)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Points
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(6)-0.5
Dry games0.5(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Points
Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-39%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYLachlan Galvin1.44+186%
08-07CBYLeo Thompson0.000%
08-07CBYEnari Tuala0.70-100%
08-07CBYJethro Rinakama2.00-100%
08-07CBYMax King0.30-100%
08-07CBYBailey Hayward0.000%
08-07CBYConnor Tracey0.70-100%
08-07CBYViliame Kikau0.40-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Lindsay's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry1.5