19.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 17.1 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 22.3
−2.4 opponent leak — they concede 475.8/game vs a 544.2 league average
vs them: averages 11.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 17: 52 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Post Contact Metres
475.8per game · league avg 544.2
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Allianz Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else15.9(15)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)9.0(1)-7.4
Dry games16.4(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SYD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-1.7
Avg diff %
-7%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYJosh Curran18.70-100%
07-30NQLJake Clifford15.16-60%
07-30NQLKai O'Donnell19.60-100%
07-30NQLMatthew Lodge17.517-3%
07-30NQLSam McIntyre14.85-66%
07-24NEWFrancis Manuleleua16.945+166%
07-24NEWBrodie Jones15.032+113%
07-24NEWFletcher Hunt15.815-5%
Similar = season average within ±2.6 of Simione's. Computed from this app's own records.