Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
80.1−27.4 vs your line
80.5 baseline — his last 4 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 1679.1/game vs a 1687.8 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o107.5
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 25 · 2026-08-20 19:50☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (32%)🌬 13.2 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jaxenvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game
107.3
66
Run Metresneutral
50
1679.1
Jaxen 107.3/game
MEL concedes 1679.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.3
95
Tackle Breaksneutral
50
32.8
Jaxen 4.3/game
MEL concedes 32.8/game · league avg 32.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.3
14
Tacklesunfavorable
25
336.7
Jaxen 4.3/game
MEL concedes 336.7/game · league avg 344.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
94
Triesneutral
56
4.5
Jaxen 0.7/game
MEL concedes 4.5/game · league avg 4.2
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
63
3.6
Jaxen 0.0/game
MEL concedes 3.6/game · league avg 3.5
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
97
Line Breaksfavorable
88
6.4
Jaxen 1.0/game
MEL concedes 6.4/game · league avg 5.1
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
50
9.8
Jaxen 0.0/game
MEL concedes 9.8/game · league avg 9.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.7
42
Post Contact Metresneutral
69
563.0
Jaxen 22.7/game
MEL concedes 563.0/game · league avg 544.6
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Jaxen107.3
66
MEL1679.1
50
Jaxen 107.3/game
MEL concedes 1679.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Jaxen4.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MEL concede · Run Metres
1679.1per game · league avg 1687.8
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At AAMI Park—(0)
Everywhere else80.5(4)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games80.5(4)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs MEL · Run Metres
Avg diff
+7.3
Avg diff %
+6%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08MANNathan Brown96.689-8%
07-31CBYStephen Crichton100.256-44%
07-31CBYLeo Thompson116.6108-7%
07-31CBYViliame Kikau91.5122+33%
07-31CBYJacob Preston94.9100+5%
07-31CBYJethro Rinakama121.9180+48%
07-31CBYLachlan Galvin117.6124+5%
07-31CBYJaeman Salmon93.8112+19%
Similar = season average within ±16.1 of Jaxen's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5