21.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 22.8 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 19.5
−2.7 opponent leak — they concede 475.8/game vs a 544.6 league average
+6.6 at this ground — averages 28.1 there (7 gm)
vs them: averages 17.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Post Contact Metres
475.8per game · league avg 544.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium28.1(7)+9.1
Everywhere else19.0(13)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)18.0(2)-4.7
Dry games22.7(18)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SYD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+5.2
Avg diff %
+21%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYHarry Hayes23.633+40%
07-30NQLScott Drinkwater23.120-14%
07-30NQLKai O'Donnell19.60-100%
07-17MELAlec MacDonald22.633+46%
07-11PARTeancum Brown23.353+128%
06-26BRIJack Gosiewski19.828+41%
06-26BRIBen Talty24.242+74%
06-26BRIReece Walsh25.714-45%
Similar = season average within ±3.4 of Billy's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry38.5