52.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 57.7 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 43.4
−5.1 opponent leak — they concede 1519.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
+14.1 at this ground — averages 66.1 there (7 gm)
vs them: averages 71.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Run Metres
1519.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At CommBank Stadium66.1(7)+15.2
Everywhere else50.9(13)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)46.0(2)-11.4
Dry games57.4(18)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SYD · Run Metres
Avg diff
+3.1
Avg diff %
+3%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYHarry Hayes64.288+37%
08-07CBYKurt Mann51.878+51%
08-07CBYJosh Curran49.10-100%
07-30NQLMatthew Lodge50.749-3%
07-24NEWFletcher Hunt63.767+5%
07-17MELHarry Grant55.351-8%
07-17MELTyran Wishart60.968+12%
07-17MELAlec MacDonald60.380+33%
Similar = season average within ±8.7 of Billy's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5