0.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 5 1.6
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 475.8/game vs a 544.2 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Post Contact Metres
475.8per game · league avg 544.2
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Allianz Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else1.6(5)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-2.0
Dry games2.0(4)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SYD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-0.4
Avg diff %
-50%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYJake Turpin0.30-100%
07-24NEWKyle McCarthy0.000%
07-17MELJosiah Pahulu1.10-100%
07-17MELGabriel Satrick0.000%
05-30MELJosiah Pahulu1.10-100%
05-16NQLXavier Kerrisk0.000%
04-19NEWKyle McCarthy0.000%
04-11CROJayden Berrell0.90-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Nicholas's. Computed from this app's own records.