8.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 4.8 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 9 13.9
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 352.1/game vs a 344.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 18.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o4.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Haydenvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
37.0
19
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Hayden 37.0/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
31
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Hayden 0.8/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.8
17
Tacklesneutral
81
352.1
Hayden 4.8/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Hayden 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Hayden 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
31
4.5
Hayden 0.0/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Hayden 0.0/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
12.3
24
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Hayden 12.3/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Hayden37.0
19
CRO1504.1
0
Hayden 37.0/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Hayden0.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Tackles
352.1per game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium1.0(1)-14.5
Everywhere else15.5(8)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)30.0(1)+18.1
Dry games11.9(8)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Tackles
Avg diff
+3.8
Avg diff %
+91%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUJye Gray4.210+139%
08-02SOUThomas Fletcher5.80-100%
08-02SOUJayden Sullivan4.60-100%
08-02SOUAlex Johnston4.57+55%
07-26MANJosh Feledy5.520+264%
07-26MANJason Saab4.75+6%
07-26MANNicholas Lenaz3.514+300%
07-11DOLTrai Fuller4.512+167%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Hayden's. Computed from this app's own records.