17.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 12.3 (4 gm) + 0.4 × last 9 24.9
−2.5 opponent leak — they concede 466.4/game vs a 544.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 25.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o12.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Haydenvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
37.0
19
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Hayden 37.0/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
31
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Hayden 0.8/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.8
17
Tacklesneutral
81
352.1
Hayden 4.8/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Hayden 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Hayden 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
31
4.5
Hayden 0.0/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Hayden 0.0/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
12.3
24
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Hayden 12.3/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Hayden37.0
19
CRO1504.1
0
Hayden 37.0/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Hayden0.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Post Contact Metres
466.4per game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium9.0(1)-17.9
Everywhere else26.9(8)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)44.0(1)+21.5
Dry games22.5(8)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+0.4
Avg diff %
+4%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUAdam Elliott12.812-6%
08-02SOUJohn Radel12.133+172%
08-02SOULiam Le Blanc10.54-62%
08-02SOUJamie Humphreys14.17-50%
08-02SOUCody Walker11.218+61%
07-26MANJoey Walsh12.523+84%
07-26MANBlake Wilson10.90-100%
07-17NEWThomas Cant13.74-71%
Similar = season average within ±1.8 of Hayden's. Computed from this app's own records.