31.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 29.6 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 34.4
−1.7 opponent leak — they concede 514.9/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 25.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o29.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.4°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 6.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Traivs all playersStatMAN concedePer game
108.9
68
Run Metresunfavorable
31
1613.3
Trai 108.9/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.0
85
Tackle Breaksneutral
38
31.9
Trai 3.0/game
MAN concedes 31.9/game · league avg 32.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.5
13
Tacklesneutral
56
347.8
Trai 4.5/game
MAN concedes 347.8/game · league avg 344.9
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
55
Triesunfavorable
25
3.8
Trai 0.2/game
MAN concedes 3.8/game · league avg 4.2
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
66
Try Assistsunfavorable
25
3.1
Trai 0.2/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
36
Line Breaksunfavorable
19
4.5
Trai 0.1/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
67
Offloadsneutral
100
11.6
Trai 0.6/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
29.6
56
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
31
514.9
Trai 29.6/game
MAN concedes 514.9/game · league avg 544.2
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Trai108.9
68
MAN1613.3
31
Trai 108.9/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Trai3.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MAN concede · Post Contact Metres
514.9per game · league avg 544.2
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At 4 Pines Park29.0(1)-5.1
Everywhere else34.1(31)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)38.0(5)+4.9
Dry games33.1(27)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs MAN · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-3.0
Avg diff %
-11%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08MELNick Meaney30.521-31%
08-08MELCameron Munster25.411-57%
08-08MELJoe Chan28.825-13%
08-08MELOryn Keeley28.041+46%
07-26CROTeig Wilton31.237+19%
07-26CROBilly Burns26.918-33%
07-26CROCameron McInnes27.526-5%
07-19GLDAJ Brimson26.922-18%
Similar = season average within ±4.4 of Trai's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown28.5