31.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 29.6 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 34.4
+3.0 opponent leak — they concede 597.6/game vs a 545.7 league average
−0.8 at this ground — averages 30.7 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 36.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Post Contact Metres
597.6per game · league avg 545.7
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium30.7(13)-5.4
Everywhere else36.1(19)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)38.0(5)+4.9
Dry games33.1(27)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-3.9
Avg diff %
-12%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01NEWKalyn Ponga32.920-39%
08-01NEWFletcher Sharpe28.226-8%
08-01NEWMat Croker28.733+15%
07-25NQLZac Laybutt27.425-9%
07-25NQLReuben Cotter33.623-31%
07-25NQLJaxon Purdue28.718-37%
07-25NQLGriffin Neame28.936+25%
07-25NQLCoen Hess30.527-11%
Similar = season average within ±4.4 of Trai's. Computed from this app's own records.