13.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 13.1 (10 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 13.1
+0.3 opponent leak — they concede 352.1/game vs a 344.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 9.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o13.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jacobvs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
33.2
17
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Jacob 33.2/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
14
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Jacob 0.3/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.1
39
Tacklesneutral
81
352.1
Jacob 13.1/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
31
4.5
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Jacob 0.0/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
16.4
31
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Jacob 16.4/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jacob33.2
17
CRO1504.1
0
Jacob 33.2/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jacob0.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Tackles
352.1per game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium21.0(3)+4.4
Everywhere else16.6(13)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)22.5(2)+5.8
Dry games16.7(14)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Tackles
Avg diff
+7.4
Avg diff %
+57%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUJack Wighton12.524+92%
08-02SOUJohn Radel12.333+169%
08-02SOUAshton Ward14.314-2%
07-26MANJoey Walsh13.830+118%
07-26MANReuben Garrick12.53-76%
07-17NEWDane Gagai15.112-20%
07-17NEWBradman Best13.814+2%
07-17NEWFrancis Manuleleua13.437+176%
Similar = season average within ±2.0 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.