Only 1 game in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
1.5−1.0 vs your line
1.6 baseline — his last 10 games; only 1 this season, too few to blend
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 176.7/game vs a 185.9 league average
Signalsopponent ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 12: 6 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Runs
176.7per game · league avg 185.9
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else2.3(12)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-2.8
Dry games2.8(10)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Runs
Avg diff
+0.6
Avg diff %
+12%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09SGILyhkan King-Togia2.68+212%
08-09SGIJacob Liddle3.45+46%
08-02SOUJayden Sullivan1.80-100%
08-02SOUThomas Fletcher1.70-100%
08-02SOULiam Le Blanc3.34+22%
07-26MANJake Simpkin3.03+2%
07-17NEWHarrison Graham2.63+17%
07-17NEWPhoenix Crossland2.020%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Peter's. Computed from this app's own records.