Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
19.8−10.7 vs your line
18.0 baseline — his last 5 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
+1.8 opponent leak — they concede 598.3/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
Signalsopponent ▲projection ▼
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Post Contact Metres
598.3per game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium0.0(1)-22.5
Everywhere else22.5(4)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games18.0(5)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+0.8
Avg diff %
+2%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROCameron McInnes27.523-16%
08-09CROTeig Wilton31.234+9%
08-09CROBilly Burns26.942+56%
08-09CROThomas Hazelton33.052+58%
07-31DOLFrancis Molo27.522-20%
07-31DOLThomas Flegler29.117-42%
07-31DOLMax Plath28.823-20%
07-26GLDKlese Haas26.224-8%
Similar = season average within ±4.5 of Ethan's. Computed from this app's own records.