136.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 139.6 (12 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 132.0
−11.6 opponent leak — they concede 1543/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 115.3 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 139.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Davidvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
139.6
85
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1543.0
David 139.6/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.5
96
Tackle Breaksfavorable
81
34.4
David 4.5/game
WAR concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
22.8
69
Tacklesneutral
94
365.4
David 22.8/game
WAR concedes 365.4/game · league avg 344.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
67
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
David 0.3/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.2
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
66
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
David 0.2/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.7
David 0.3/game
WAR concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.2
92
Offloadsfavorable
69
10.2
David 1.2/game
WAR concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
54.5
94
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
494.6
David 54.5/game
WAR concedes 494.6/game · league avg 544.2
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
David139.6
85
WAR1543.0
13
David 139.6/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksfavorable
David4.5
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Run Metres
1543.0per game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Go Media Stadium105.5(2)-24.2
Everywhere else129.7(100)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)131.7(7)+2.6
Dry games129.1(95)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Run Metres
Avg diff
-24.3
Avg diff %
-20%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENPaul Alamoti136.981-41%
08-07PENIsaah Yeo120.652-57%
08-07PENIsaiah Papali'i122.476-38%
08-07PENLiam Henry119.882-32%
08-01GLDBeau Fermor122.7113-8%
08-01GLDTino Fa'asuamaleaui145.3174+20%
08-01GLDDean Ieremia126.4113-11%
07-25CBYMatt Burton126.1135+7%
Similar = season average within ±20.9 of David's. Computed from this app's own records.