21.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 20.3 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 23.9
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 1679.1/game vs a 1687.8 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 62.5 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 26: 97 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o20.5
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 25 · 2026-08-20 19:50☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (32%)🌬 13.2 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Mavrikvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game
20.3
10
Run Metresneutral
50
1679.1
Mavrik 20.3/game
MEL concedes 1679.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksneutral
50
32.8
Mavrik 0.0/game
MEL concedes 32.8/game · league avg 32.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
9.1
29
Tacklesunfavorable
25
336.7
Mavrik 9.1/game
MEL concedes 336.7/game · league avg 344.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
56
4.5
Mavrik 0.0/game
MEL concedes 4.5/game · league avg 4.2
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
63
3.6
Mavrik 0.0/game
MEL concedes 3.6/game · league avg 3.5
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
88
6.4
Mavrik 0.0/game
MEL concedes 6.4/game · league avg 5.1
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
28
Offloadsneutral
50
9.8
Mavrik 0.1/game
MEL concedes 9.8/game · league avg 9.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
8.3
16
Post Contact Metresneutral
69
563.0
Mavrik 8.3/game
MEL concedes 563.0/game · league avg 544.6
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Mavrik20.3
10
MEL1679.1
50
Mavrik 20.3/game
MEL concedes 1679.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Mavrik0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MEL concede · Run Metres
1679.1per game · league avg 1687.8
#9 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At AAMI Park47.0(1)+16.1
Everywhere else30.9(27)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)24.3(3)-8.0
Dry games32.4(25)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs MEL · Run Metres
Avg diff
-3.9
Avg diff %
-13%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08MANJackson Shereb21.80-100%
07-31CBYSean O'Sullivan22.20-100%
07-31CBYAlekolasimi Jones18.90-100%
07-24SOUThomas Fletcher18.774+296%
07-24SOUJayden Sullivan17.60-100%
07-17SYDRex Bassingthwaighte21.50-100%
06-27MANAaron Schoupp17.352+200%
05-22CBYAlekolasimi Jones18.90-100%
Similar = season average within ±3.0 of Mavrik's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5