• 0.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 0.0 (9 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 0.6
• −0.0 opponent leak — they concede 333.3/game vs a 344.7 league average
• +0.9 at this ground — averages 1.1 there (9 gm)
• wet forecast: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
• vs them: averages 0.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed

Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.