3.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.3 (9 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 3.9
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 469.6/game vs a 544.2 league average
vs them: averages 26.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 9: 21 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Post Contact Metres
469.6per game · league avg 544.2
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else9.4(15)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)19.0(1)+10.3
Dry games8.7(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-1.6
Avg diff %
-66%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-17NEWPhoenix Crossland1.70-100%
07-11DOLBrian Pouniu2.40-100%
07-11DOLSebastian Su'a2.20-100%
07-04BRIBlake Mozer2.85+79%
07-04BRICory Paix3.82-47%
07-04BRIBen Hunt2.61-61%
06-21SYDRex Bassingthwaighte3.80-100%
06-21SYDToby Rodwell1.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Chevy's. Computed from this app's own records.