9.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 6.4 (9 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 13.8
−1.0 opponent leak — they concede 1511.1/game vs a 1686.6 league average
vs them: averages 137.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 27: 80 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Run Metres
1511.1per game · league avg 1686.6
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Ocean Protect Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else38.2(15)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)93.0(1)+58.7
Dry games34.3(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CRO · Run Metres
Avg diff
-6.3
Avg diff %
-100%
Hit rate
0/3
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-11DOLSebastian Su'a5.50-100%
03-21DOLSebastian Su'a5.50-100%
03-07GLDLuke Sommerton7.80-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Chevy's. Computed from this app's own records.