3.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 2.6 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.1
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 192.6/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 7.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Runs
192.6per game · league avg 185.9
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium0.0(2)-5.7
Everywhere else5.7(12)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-5.2
Dry games5.2(13)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Runs
Avg diff
+0.1
Avg diff %
+8%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUThomas Fletcher1.70-100%
08-08SOUJayden Sullivan1.80-100%
08-02WSTTristan Hope1.80-100%
07-23PENFreddy Lussick3.28+154%
07-23PENJack Cole1.60-100%
07-11SYDRex Bassingthwaighte3.01-67%
07-11SYDTaylor Losalu1.47+400%
07-11SYDBenaiah Ioelu2.82-27%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Moala's. Computed from this app's own records.