Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
12.8+10.3 vs your line
11.5 baseline — his last 10 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
+1.3 opponent leak — they concede 605.3/game vs a 545.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 7.5 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o2.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Kaidenvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
15.0
7
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Kaiden 15.0/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
14
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Kaiden 0.3/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.3
10
Tacklesunfavorable
38
340.0
Kaiden 3.3/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Kaiden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Kaiden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Kaiden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Kaiden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.7
4
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Kaiden 2.7/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Kaiden15.0
7
GLD1851.3
94
Kaiden 15.0/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1690.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Kaiden0.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Post Contact Metres
605.3per game · league avg 545.7
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium7.0(1)-5.0
Everywhere else12.0(9)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)9.5(2)-2.5
Dry games12.0(8)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+2.6
Avg diff %
+99%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLSoni Luke3.47+107%
08-06NQLEthan King1.95+167%
06-26CBYSean O'Sullivan3.60-100%
06-26CBYBailey Hayward2.85+82%
06-20PENBilly Scott1.55+225%
06-14WSTCharlie Murray1.90-100%
06-14WSTJosese Lanyon2.67+169%
06-06BRICory Paix3.813+244%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Kaiden's. Computed from this app's own records.