Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
2.9+1.4 vs your line
2.8 baseline — his last 10 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 195.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 2.5 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Signalsopponent ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o1.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Kaidenvs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
15.0
7
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Kaiden 15.0/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
14
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Kaiden 0.3/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.3
10
Tacklesunfavorable
38
340.0
Kaiden 3.3/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Kaiden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Kaiden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Kaiden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Kaiden 0.0/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.7
5
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Kaiden 2.7/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Kaiden15.0
7
GLD1851.3
94
Kaiden 15.0/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Kaiden0.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Runs
195.2per game · league avg 185.9
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Cbus Super Stadium2.0(1)-0.9
Everywhere else2.9(9)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(2)-0.4
Dry games2.9(8)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs GLD · Runs
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
+59%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLEthan King0.81+33%
08-01WARLuke Metcalf2.30-100%
07-19MANNicholas Lenaz0.30-100%
07-19MANAaron Schoupp1.70-100%
07-12MELJack Hetherington2.10-100%
07-12MELJosiah Pahulu0.32+700%
06-26CBYAlekolasimi Jones2.10-100%
06-26CBYLipoi Hopoi2.48+235%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Kaiden's. Computed from this app's own records.