Only 3 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
2.8−0.7 vs your line
2.9 baseline — his last 10 games; only 3 this season, too few to blend
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 181.6/game vs a 185.9 league average
vs them: averages 3.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
Signalsopponent ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Runs
181.6per game · league avg 185.9
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else3.2(11)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)1.5(2)-2.1
Dry games3.6(9)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs DOL · Runs
Avg diff
+2.6
Avg diff %
+85%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIThomas Duffy4.06+50%
08-08BRIBilly Walters2.75+87%
08-08BRIJaiyden Hunt3.79+141%
08-08BRIBen Hunt3.90-100%
08-08BRIVa'a Semu4.26+42%
07-31SGILyhkan King-Togia2.611+329%
07-31SGIJacob Halangahu3.77+88%
07-31SGIJacob Liddle3.45+46%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Elijah's. Computed from this app's own records.