100.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 99.1 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 101.7
+9.8 opponent leak — they concede 1851.3/game vs a 1686.6 league average
−7.8 at this ground — averages 92.3 there (16 gm)
vs them: averages 74.5 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o99.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 16.5°C☂ 0.3mm (64%)🌬 16.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jermainevs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
99.1
61
Run Metresneutral
94
1851.3
Jermaine 99.1/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.6
56
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Jermaine 1.6/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
33.7
90
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Jermaine 33.7/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
31
Triesneutral
75
4.8
Jermaine 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
59
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Jermaine 0.1/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
44
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Jermaine 0.1/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
33
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Jermaine 0.2/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
35.6
67
Post Contact Metresneutral
94
605.3
Jermaine 35.6/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Jermaine99.1
61
GLD1851.3
94
Jermaine 99.1/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Jermaine1.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Run Metres
1851.3per game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At McDonald Jones Stadium92.3(16)+12.6
Everywhere else79.7(18)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)84.4(5)-1.4
Dry games85.8(29)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Run Metres
Avg diff
+32.9
Avg diff %
+35%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLZac Laybutt87.9107+22%
08-06NQLHeilum Luki105.0122+16%
08-01WARLeka Halasima87.7147+68%
08-01WARAli Leiataua98.2174+77%
08-01WARTe Maire Martin87.991+4%
08-01WARKurt Capewell87.0118+36%
08-01WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira112.4102-9%
08-01WARTanner Stowers-Smith108.9177+62%
Similar = season average within ±14.9 of Jermaine's. Computed from this app's own records.