19.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 20.2 (6 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 17.9
+0.4 opponent leak — they concede 352.1/game vs a 344.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 18.4 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
← the price your bookie is offering
Splits · o20.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Hamevs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
58.8
35
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Hame 58.8/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
7
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Hame 0.2/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
20.2
63
Tacklesneutral
81
352.1
Hame 20.2/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Hame 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Hame 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
31
4.5
Hame 0.0/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Hame 0.0/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
26.3
49
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Hame 26.3/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Hame58.8
35
CRO1504.1
0
Hame 58.8/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Hame0.2
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Tackles
352.1per game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium20.0(1)+1.7
Everywhere else18.3(65)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)19.2(9)+1.1
Dry games18.1(57)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Tackles
Avg diff
+4.2
Avg diff %
+20%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUBrandon Smith22.727+19%
08-02SOUCody Walker17.817-5%
08-02SOULachlan Hubner23.236+55%
08-02SOUSean Keppie22.421-6%
08-02SOUAdam Elliott19.028+47%
07-26MANJamal Fogarty21.726+20%
07-26MANNathan Brown19.427+39%
07-26MANEthan Bullemor18.416-13%
Similar = season average within ±3.0 of Hame's. Computed from this app's own records.