44.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 46.0 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 9 40.9
−4.4 opponent leak — they concede 1519.7/game vs a 1687.8 league average
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Run Metres
1519.7per game · league avg 1687.8
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Allianz Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else40.9(9)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(1)-46.0
Dry games46.0(8)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SYD · Run Metres
Avg diff
-2.4
Avg diff %
-6%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYKurt Mann51.878+51%
08-07CBYJosh Curran49.10-100%
07-30NQLMatthew Lodge50.749-3%
07-30NQLSam McIntyre40.517-58%
07-30NQLKai O'Donnell46.10-100%
07-24NEWBrodie Jones43.379+82%
07-17MELSiulagi Tuimalatu-Brown49.491+84%
07-11PARJack De Belin46.144-4%
Similar = season average within ±6.9 of Jack's. Computed from this app's own records.