30.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 30.0 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 31.5
−2.1 opponent leak — they concede 507.7/game vs a 544.2 league average
−1.1 at this ground — averages 29.5 there (21 gm)
vs them: averages 18.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Post Contact Metres
507.7per game · league avg 544.2
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Accor Stadium29.5(21)+3.4
Everywhere else26.1(27)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)22.4(7)-6.0
Dry games28.5(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+1.1
Avg diff %
+8%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARSam Tuivaiti30.020-33%
08-08PARSaxon Pryke27.344+61%
08-02CROSamuel Stonestreet33.90-100%
08-02CROTeig Wilton31.231-1%
08-02CROCameron McInnes27.541+49%
08-02CROBilly Burns26.913-52%
08-02CROThomas Hazelton33.021-36%
07-24MELOryn Keeley28.077+175%
Similar = season average within ±4.5 of Samuel's. Computed from this app's own records.