8.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.1 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 8.8
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 180.6/game vs a 186.3 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 9.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Runs
180.6per game · league avg 186.3
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium10.5(2)+2.3
Everywhere else8.2(46)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)7.7(7)-0.7
Dry games8.4(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Runs
Avg diff
-1.0
Avg diff %
-11%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYHarry Hayes7.510+33%
08-07CBYStephen Crichton9.34-57%
07-30NQLJake Clifford8.03-62%
07-30NQLCoen Hess7.55-34%
07-30NQLReuben Cotter8.72-77%
07-24NEWTyson Frizell9.414+49%
07-24NEWFletcher Hunt7.511+47%
07-17MELHarry Grant7.99+14%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Samuel's. Computed from this app's own records.