14.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 15.8 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 13.0
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 539.6/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 22.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 5: 66 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Post Contact Metres
539.6per game · league avg 544.2
#10 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium2.0(2)-18.6
Everywhere else20.6(31)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)30.0(3)+11.6
Dry games18.4(30)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs DOL · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+4.7
Avg diff %
+31%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIJaiyden Hunt14.027+93%
08-08BRIVa'a Semu16.624+44%
07-31SGIJacob Halangahu15.840+153%
07-31SGIJosh Kerr17.929+62%
07-19NQLJake Clifford15.10-100%
07-19NQLSam McIntyre14.812-19%
07-19NQLMatthew Lodge17.55-71%
07-11CROTuku Hau Tapuha14.026+86%
Similar = season average within ±2.4 of Fletcher's. Computed from this app's own records.