59.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 63.7 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 52.3
−1.2 opponent leak — they concede 1652.5/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 94.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Run Metres
1652.5per game · league avg 1686.6
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium5.5(2)-74.8
Everywhere else80.3(31)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)115.3(3)+43.6
Dry games71.8(30)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs DOL · Run Metres
Avg diff
-14.0
Avg diff %
-19%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIGrant Anderson67.588+30%
08-08BRIJack Gosiewski55.50-100%
07-31SGIDamien Cook54.449-10%
07-31SGIEmre Guler62.752-17%
07-19NQLJake Clifford68.80-100%
07-11CROOregon Kaufusi54.2134+147%
07-11CROMawene Hiroti72.00-100%
07-05NEWSandon Smith70.8710%
Similar = season average within ±9.5 of Fletcher's. Computed from this app's own records.