52.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 54.1 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 49.8
−5.7 opponent leak — they concede 1504.1/game vs a 1687.8 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 91.9 over 11 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o54.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.9°C☂ 0.4mm (83%)🌬 16.9 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Blakevs all playersStatCRO concedePer game
54.1
31
Run Metresunfavorable
0
1504.1
Blake 54.1/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
6
28.6
Blake 0.0/game
CRO concedes 28.6/game · league avg 32.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
13.3
40
Tacklesneutral
81
352.1
Blake 13.3/game
CRO concedes 352.1/game · league avg 344.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
19
3.7
Blake 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.7/game · league avg 4.2
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
31
3.3
Blake 0.0/game
CRO concedes 3.3/game · league avg 3.5
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
31
4.5
Blake 0.0/game
CRO concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Blake 0.0/game
CRO concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
18.6
36
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
0
466.4
Blake 18.6/game
CRO concedes 466.4/game · league avg 544.6
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Blake54.1
31
CRO1504.1
0
Blake 54.1/game
CRO concedes 1504.1/game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Blake0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CRO concede · Run Metres
1504.1per game · league avg 1687.8
#17 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium24.0(2)-77.5
Everywhere else101.5(117)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)90.3(13)-11.1
Dry games101.4(106)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CRO · Run Metres
Avg diff
-18.3
Avg diff %
-33%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02SOUAshton Ward59.638-36%
08-02SOUBrandon Smith51.824-54%
07-26MANJamal Fogarty49.522-56%
07-26MANJake Trbojevic54.950-9%
07-26MANJoey Walsh50.775+48%
07-17NEWLachlan Crouch53.239-27%
07-17NEWFletcher Hunt59.30-100%
07-11DOLKodi Nikorima49.434-31%
Similar = season average within ±8.1 of Blake's. Computed from this app's own records.