199.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 197.3 (21 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 203.1
−13.2 opponent leak — they concede 1576.6/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−40.2 at this ground — averages 159.4 there (19 gm)
vs them: averages 76.5 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o197.5
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 25 · 2026-08-20 19:50☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (32%)🌬 13.2 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Sualauvivs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
197.3
99
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Sualauvi 197.3/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.7
99
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Sualauvi 5.7/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.7
15
Tacklesneutral
100
368.1
Sualauvi 4.7/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
96
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Sualauvi 0.8/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
93
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Sualauvi 0.6/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
98
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Sualauvi 1.0/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
91
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.1
Sualauvi 1.1/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
40.0
75
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
548.9
Sualauvi 40.0/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 544.6
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Sualauvi197.3
99
PEN1576.6
25
Sualauvi 197.3/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Sualauvi5.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Run Metres
1576.6per game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At AAMI Park159.4(19)+6.5
Everywhere else152.9(27)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)201.2(5)+51.2
Dry games150.0(41)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PEN · Run Metres
Avg diff
-42.0
Avg diff %
-22%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-03SOUMatthew Dufty190.50-100%
07-03SOUKeaon Koloamatangi170.4194+14%
06-27NQLBraidon Burns185.2193+4%
06-27NQLTom Chester174.3172-1%
06-20GLDKeano Kini201.1169-16%
06-20GLDPhillip Sami218.1206-6%
05-10CBRSimi Sasagi173.738-78%
05-03MANHaumole Olakau'atu174.5180+3%
Similar = season average within ±29.6 of Sualauvi's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5