26.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 22.0 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 33.3
+3.6 opponent leak — they concede 1914.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 15.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 20: 86 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o22.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Hohepavs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
22.0
11
Run Metresneutral
100
1914.7
Hohepa 22.0/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
26
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.6
Hohepa 0.6/game
SGI concedes 30.6/game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
12.9
39
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Hohepa 12.9/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
31
Triesneutral
94
5.1
Hohepa 0.1/game
SGI concedes 5.1/game · league avg 4.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Hohepa 0.0/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
29
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Hohepa 0.1/game
SGI concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
17
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Hohepa 0.1/game
SGI concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.0
10
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
598.3
Hohepa 5.0/game
SGI concedes 598.3/game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Hohepa22.0
11
SGI1914.7
100
Hohepa 22.0/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Hohepa0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Run Metres
1914.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium0.0(1)-22.2
Everywhere else22.2(30)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games21.5(31)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Run Metres
Avg diff
+5.9
Avg diff %
+27%
Hit rate
3/5
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROBraden Uele22.342+88%
05-31BRIThomas Duffy23.30-100%
05-31BRIBen Hunt25.345+78%
03-22PARRyley Smith19.110-48%
03-14MELJack Hetherington18.841+118%
Similar = season average within ±3.3 of Hohepa's. Computed from this app's own records.