Only 2 games in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
Projection
4.7+2.2 vs your line
4.8 baseline — his last 10 games; only 2 this season, too few to blend
−0.1 opponent leak — they concede 181.6/game vs a 185.9 league average
vs them: averages 7.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.1°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 6.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Fletchervs all playersStatDOL concedePer game
14.5
7
Run Metresunfavorable
38
1652.5
Fletcher 14.5/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
13
30.4
Fletcher 0.0/game
DOL concedes 30.4/game · league avg 32.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
5.5
19
Tacklesneutral
69
351.7
Fletcher 5.5/game
DOL concedes 351.7/game · league avg 344.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
38
4.0
Fletcher 0.0/game
DOL concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Fletcher 0.0/game
DOL concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksneutral
50
4.8
Fletcher 0.0/game
DOL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 5.1
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
61
Offloadsunfavorable
0
8.0
Fletcher 0.5/game
DOL concedes 8.0/game · league avg 9.7
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
4.0
8
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
44
539.6
Fletcher 4.0/game
DOL concedes 539.6/game · league avg 544.6
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Fletcher14.5
7
DOL1652.5
38
Fletcher 14.5/game
DOL concedes 1652.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Fletcher0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
DOL concede · Runs
181.6per game · league avg 185.9
#11 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At 4 Pines Park—(0)
Everywhere else6.3(70)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)5.0(6)-1.4
Dry games6.4(64)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs DOL · Runs
Avg diff
+2.3
Avg diff %
+78%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08BRIThomas Duffy4.06+50%
08-08BRIBilly Walters2.75+87%
08-08BRIJaiyden Hunt3.79+141%
08-08BRIBen Hunt3.90-100%
08-08BRIBlake Mozer1.20-100%
07-31SGIJacob Halangahu3.67+94%
07-31SGILyhkan King-Togia2.211+400%
07-31SGIJacob Liddle3.35+53%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Fletcher's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown11.5