38.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 37.6 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 39.1
+3.5 opponent leak — they concede 594.5/game vs a 544.6 league average
+1.2 at this ground — averages 39.4 there (22 gm)
vs them: averages 36.8 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 19: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Post Contact Metres
594.5per game · league avg 544.6
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium39.4(22)+1.5
Everywhere else37.9(78)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)39.8(8)+1.7
Dry games38.1(92)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+6.5
Avg diff %
+18%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLTom Gilbert35.526-27%
08-08DOLHamiso Tabuai-Fidow39.642+6%
08-08DOLConnelly Lemuelu41.537-11%
08-01NEWJermaine McEwen35.244+25%
08-01NEWKalyn Ponga32.920-39%
08-01NEWDane Gagai34.350+46%
08-01NEWTrey Mooney35.778+118%
08-01NEWTyson Frizell35.445+27%
Similar = season average within ±5.6 of Euan's. Computed from this app's own records.