2.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 1.1 (8 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 5.5
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 559.8/game vs a 544.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 17.5 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 10: 30 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
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Splits · o1.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Josiahvs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
3.5
1
Run Metresneutral
56
1722.7
Josiah 3.5/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Tackle Breaksneutral
69
33.6
Josiah 0.0/game
NEW concedes 33.6/game · league avg 32.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
1
Tacklesunfavorable
19
333.3
Josiah 0.9/game
NEW concedes 333.3/game · league avg 344.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesunfavorable
38
4.0
Josiah 0.0/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Josiah 0.0/game
NEW concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Line Breaksunfavorable
38
4.5
Josiah 0.0/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
63
10.2
Josiah 0.0/game
NEW concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
1
Post Contact Metresneutral
63
559.8
Josiah 1.1/game
NEW concedes 559.8/game · league avg 544.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Josiah3.5
1
NEW1722.7
56
Josiah 3.5/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Josiah0.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Post Contact Metres
559.8per game · league avg 544.6
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At McDonald Jones Stadium21.5(2)+3.9
Everywhere else17.6(29)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)9.0(3)-9.8
Dry games18.8(28)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs NEW · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+1.4
Avg diff %
+49%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01BRIBen Hunt2.610+290%
07-17CROJayden Berrell0.90-100%
07-05DOLSam Elliott0.000%
07-05DOLBrian Pouniu2.40-100%
07-05DOLJohn Fineanganofo0.000%
07-05DOLSebastian Su'a2.213+500%
06-28WSTJosese Lanyon2.60-100%
05-30PARApa Twidle1.30-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Josiah's. Computed from this app's own records.