151.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 145.3 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 160.7
+3.1 opponent leak — they concede 1722.7/game vs a 1687.8 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 163.9 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o145.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tinovs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
145.3
86
Run Metresneutral
56
1722.7
Tino 145.3/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.8
61
Tackle Breaksneutral
69
33.6
Tino 1.8/game
NEW concedes 33.6/game · league avg 32.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
31.5
87
Tacklesunfavorable
19
333.3
Tino 31.5/game
NEW concedes 333.3/game · league avg 344.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
30
Triesneutral
38
4.0
Tino 0.1/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
68
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Tino 0.2/game
NEW concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
44
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.5
Tino 0.1/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
84
Offloadsfavorable
63
10.2
Tino 0.9/game
NEW concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
57.9
96
Post Contact Metresfavorable
63
559.8
Tino 57.9/game
NEW concedes 559.8/game · league avg 544.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Tino145.3
86
NEW1722.7
56
Tino 145.3/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Tino1.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Run Metres
1722.7per game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At McDonald Jones Stadium156.3(3)+5.9
Everywhere else150.4(98)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)146.0(9)-5.0
Dry games151.0(92)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NEW · Run Metres
Avg diff
-31.1
Avg diff %
-22%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01BRIXavier Willison124.60-100%
08-01BRIJosiah Karapani156.2154-1%
08-01BRIPayne Haas160.8120-25%
08-01BRIReece Walsh133.8168+26%
08-01BRIDeine Mariner134.8152+13%
08-01BRIPatrick Carrigan127.191-28%
07-24SYDBilly Smith150.5130-14%
07-24SYDDaniel Tupou157.581-49%
Similar = season average within ±21.8 of Tino's. Computed from this app's own records.